Expected Goals for EPL Week 27

Using the methodology described in this post, here are the expected numbers of goals that we can infer from the bookmakers' odds:

• 2.46 — Arsenal
  
• 2.03 — Liverpool
  
• 1.59 — Manchester United
  
• 1.57 — West Brom
  
• 1.50 — Chelsea
  
• 1.38 — Aston Villa
  
• 1.33 — Blackburn
  
• 1.18 — Birmingham
  
• 1.17 — Tottenham
  
• 1.15 — Everton
  
• 1.13 — Bolton
  
• 1.06 — Blackpool
  
• 1.06 — Sunderland
  
• 1.04 — Stoke
  
• 0.98 — West Ham
  
• 0.96 — Newcastle
  
• 0.81 — Manchester City
  
• 0.75 — Fulham
  
• 0.54 — Wigan
  
• 0.48 — Wolverhampton
  

I should point out that my own model has two noticeable differences from this. First, I expect Blackpool to score more goals. Second, I expect Wolverhampton to score more, i.e., an Arsenal clean sheet is less likely in my model.